How can Russia, Hamas, and Israel use the war to their advantage? | Gaza Israel War.

 

How can Russia, Hamas, and Israel use the war to their advantage? | Gaza Israel War.

How can Russia, Hamas, and Israel use the war to their advantage? | Gaza Israel War.

 

On October 16, 2023, Russian President Vladimir Putin had a telephone conversation with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, 9 days after the attack on Israel. Netanyahu has always called Vladimir Putin a friend and has visited Russia a dozen times in recent years. But they may wonder why it took nine days for the Russian president to call him after the attack on southern Israel.

He also proposed a ceasefire and offered to help defuse the situation in the Gaza Strip. Apart from this, the Russian President also discussed this matter with the authorities of Egypt, Iran, Syria, and Hamas, but the Russian authorities blamed the United States for this crisis. Coincidentally, Putin celebrates his 71st birthday on October 7, the same day that Hamas attacked Israel in full force.

Can Russia benefit from it?

On the one hand, when Russia is involved in the war in Ukraine, it is better for Russia to divert the attention of the western world from this war. Meanwhile, on Putin's birthday, this event could possibly be the perfect birthday present for him. So guys, is this Middle East crisis good for Russia? Is Russia directly involved in all this? And how can Russia use all this situation to its advantage? In today's video we will review these aspects.

Russia-Hamas Relations: Since Russia has close relations with Iran and Iran and Hamas have common interests, Russia and Hamas have common interests, at least to some extent. But it also does not mean that Russia was directly involved or had prior knowledge of the Hamas attack on Israel. Israel's ambassador to Moscow said in an interview that we do not believe that Russia was involved in this incident in any way, adding that it is total nonsense to say that Hamas' attack on Israel had anything to do with Russia.

Friends, it is also true that Russia has never declared Hamas a terrorist organization, and has long diplomatically adopted a pro-Palestinian stance. Putin first invited Hamas leaders to Moscow in 2006, and Hamas delegations have been visiting Moscow ever since. But there is no evidence of direct Russian arms supplies to Hamas or of Russian military training of Hamas operatives.

That is, we can say that President Putin did not start this war in the Middle East, but he can certainly benefit from it. Let's know how. World distraction from Russia-Ukraine war One of the most important goals of Russia's foreign policy at the moment is to divert the world's attention from the ongoing war between Ukraine and Russia.

The Middle East is at the top of the international news agenda these days due to its recent situation. Some time ago, while the news regarding the Russia-Ukraine war was the adornment of the world media, now everywhere the war between Israel and Hamas and the Palestinian issue are being discussed. Global media coverage of news and commentary helps in building public opinion to a large extent.

Therefore, after the war between Hamas and Israel, the attention of the international media, think tank commentators and the general public has shifted away from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which may benefit Russia to some extent. American think tanks also believe that Russia will use the Israel-Hamas war to spread disinformation about Ukraine and create discord among the allies.

When Russia blames the U.S. for the tensions in the Middle East, it indirectly gives the impression that because the U.S. has been focused on Ukraine, it has overlooked the growing tensions in the Middle East. Such a narrative may somewhat reduce unconditional international support for Ukraine. And when that happens, the morale of the Ukrainian people and the army will be low.

After that, Russia can strategically accelerate its military actions to achieve the desired results as soon as possible. and some observers believe that Russia has already achieved the desired results. Reduction of Arms Supply to Ukraine After the recent attack on Israel, America has assured Israel of its full support.

The Israeli Prime Minister has already declared war on Hamas and Israel is now continuously launching ground and air strikes on the Gaza Strip. As the war escalates, Israel will need more and more arms supplies. Israel is also said to be looking to acquire Iron Dome missiles, precision-guided missiles, and ammunition from the US for a major attack on Hamas.

Recently, the US President has also appealed to Congress to approve heavy Israeli military aid. At a recent meeting of NATO defense ministers, US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said that we stand and will continue to stand with Israel, as we stand with Ukraine. Similarly, other Western and European countries have also announced their support for Israel in this war.

But friends, it is not possible for any one country to provide aid or arms to other countries beyond a certain limit or for a long period of time. Countries that are already providing arms or aid to Ukraine in the Russia-Ukraine war will now find it difficult to provide arms or military aid to Israel at the same time.

Therefore, it would naturally be inevitable to cut off supplies to Ukraine in order to release arms or military aid to Israel. Russia had long been pushing for an end to US military aid to Ukraine. And now could not be a better time for Russia, when public support for military aid to Ukraine in the 19-month-old Russia-Ukraine war is waning.

Even before the war between Israel and Hamas broke out, there were signs that current and future US funding to Ukraine could be in jeopardy. Recently, the US Congress passed a stopgap funding bill that halted additional aid to Ukraine for 45 days. In addition, diplomatically, the continuation of US support for Ukraine is also getting difficult.

Now with another conflict in the Middle East, supporting two allies in two separate wars at the same time will be a tough test for America. This war in the Middle East is distracting Ukraine's main allies from the Russia-Ukraine war at a time when public sentiment on the Ukraine conflict is already waning.

And after all this situation, the direction of operation in the Russia-Ukraine war can quickly change in favor of Russia. Possible rise in oil prices Russia is a major oil and gas producer, so rising crude oil prices amid instability in the Middle East will also benefit Russia. In the first two weeks after the Hamas-Israeli war, global oil prices rose 7 percent.

However, now the prices have stabilized a bit. But if the situation becomes more tense, this increase will be seen again. Due to these rising oil prices, Russia can earn huge foreign exchange by selling relatively cheap oil. Russia is expected to see a significant increase in its defense spending in 2024, so oil revenues could be very important for the country.

Diplomacy Russia is one of the few countries that has good relations with Israel and many countries in the Middle East. Therefore, Russia is now in a strong position to use these ties to mediate between bitter rivals such as Israel and Iran. On the one hand, Russia is importing weapons from Iran for the war against Ukraine, on the other hand, it also has close relations with Syria.

Now, since Israel is currently hostile to both Iran and Syria while having good relations with Russia, Russia is naturally in a better position than the US to resolve this Middle East issue through diplomacy or negotiation. At a time when the Israeli army is reportedly fighting Iran-backed Hamas fighters and Iran-Israel relations are deteriorating, Russia is not only blaming the United States for the whole situation but also calling for an end to the war by taking some practical steps.

Recently, Russia submitted a draft resolution to the UN Security Council calling for an immediate ceasefire and condemning all military operations against the civilian population. This resolution was rejected by the United States by vetoing it, but Russia got the credit from all over the world that it definitely started positive efforts for a ceasefire.

And America failed this attempt. A few days ago, Russia's ambassador to the United Nations gave a speech in which he blamed the United States for the emerging war in the Middle East. In addition, Putin also seems to emphasize that the recent tensions are a clear example of the failure of US policy in the Middle East In all this situation, Russia is trying to play a leading role in the geopolitics of the Middle East by reducing the role of the United States in the Middle East.

Friends, it is clear from Russia's actions that it wants to take full advantage of the Hamas-Israeli war. And as we said, this advantage will not only be in the war against Ukraine, but also Russia can emerge as an alternative to the US in the Middle East. But this new war has also changed the recent trend of close relations between Russia and Israel.

Israel had avoided overtly helping Ukraine because it needed Russia's consent to attack targets inside Syria. But Russia now seems fully committed to helping Palestine and Iran, especially in the diplomatic arena. Russia condemned the hostilities without naming Hamas in its condemnation resolutions, which is of course a concern for Israel.

Friends, President Biden has placed before the US Congress new emergency funding requests for both Israel and Ukraine. Now it remains to be seen whether the US Congress will reduce or completely eliminate aid to Ukraine. If this happens, Putin will be somewhat successful in his strategy. So friends, how do you like our video and do you think Russia will really be able to take advantage of this ongoing tension in the Middle East? Please let us know your opinion.

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